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πŸ“Š Nifty Intrinsic Value

Created by Piyush Patel_ in Nifty 3 Mar 2025
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πŸ“Š Nifty Intrinsic Value 

πŸ“ˆ 1. Nominal GDP Growth Analysis
βœ… India's nominal GDP has historically shown strong growth, with some slowdowns during economic crises (e.g., 2008, COVID-19). Overall GDP has expand from mere 0.5 Tr USD in fy_2000 to estimated 4.1 TR USD this year which is 8X. 

 πŸš€ Future estimates suggest stable economic expansion, supporting long-term equity investments.

πŸ“‰ 2. Nifty EPS Growth
πŸ“Š Earnings per share (EPS) has grown over time along with GDP expansion but faced downturns during Economic slowdowns.
πŸ” Using the median EPS growth rate ensures a more balanced projection for future earnings.

πŸ“Œ 3. Nifty High & Low Values
πŸ“Š Nifty has seen historical cycles of highs & lows, influenced by domestic and global events.
🎯 Fair valuations are more important than short-term fluctuations for investors.

πŸ“ˆ 4. Historical PE Trends & Fair PE
🧐 Based on the average of High PE and Low PE, a Fair PE of 21 is a reasonable benchmark.
πŸ”Ή This keeps valuations realistic, avoiding over & Under valuation risks of 24 to 16.


🎯 Nifty Fair Value Projections (FY25-FY35) Based on Fair PE of 21

πŸ”΅ Projected Nifty Fair Value for FY25: ~ 23627
πŸ“Š Long-term fair value growth remains steady, assuming consistent earnings growth.

πŸ“Š Nifty Fair Value Estimates (FY25 - FY35) πŸ“ˆ

 πŸŸ’ Nifty Fair Value in FY_30 could be considered at 47522. 

 πŸŸ’ Investors can use these estimates of High PE (24) and Low PE (16) to Fair PE (21) to identify potential entry & exit points in the market.


πŸ’‘ Investment Strategy & Takeaways

πŸ’° Long-term investors can accumulate Nifty at or below fair value levels of 21.
πŸ“‰ Market corrections below fair value could be buying opportunities πŸ›’.
⚠️ Overvaluation risks arise if Nifty trades significantly above its fair value without corresponding earnings growth.


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