๐Ÿก Housing Finance Industry Overview (India & Global) + 2035 Outlook ๐Ÿš€ | Profit From It
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๐Ÿก Housing Finance Industry Overview (India & Global) + 2035 Outlook ๐Ÿš€

Lesson 10/11 | Study Time: 10 Min
๐Ÿก Housing Finance Industry Overview (India & Global) + 2035 Outlook ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿก Housing Finance Industry Overview (India & Global) + 2035 Outlook ๐Ÿš€


๐Ÿ“Š 1. Current State of the Housing Finance Industry (India - 2024)

Housing finance companies play a crucial role in India's real estate and home loan sector. To evaluate the best long-term investment opportunities, we analyzed the industry using key performance indicators (KPIs) such as:

โœ… Market Size & Stability โ€“ Market Capitalization (โ‚น Cr), Assets Under Management (AUM).
โœ… Profitability โ€“ Profit Margins, Consistent Profit Growth.
โœ… Growth Potential โ€“ 4-Year Sales & Revenue Growth.
โœ… Asset Quality โ€“ Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA %).
โœ… Financial Strength โ€“ Solvency and Liquidity Ratios.


๐Ÿ† 2. Leading Housing Finance Companies in India (2024)

๐Ÿข Company

๐Ÿ’ฐ Market Cap (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿฆ AUM (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sales FY24 (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ’ธ Profit FY24 (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ“Š Profit Margin (%)

๐Ÿš€ 4-Year Growth (%)

๐Ÿ“‰ GNPA (%)

๐Ÿ† Bajaj Housing Finance (BAJAJHFL)

95,257

91,370

7,617

1,731

22.7%

30.3% โœ…

0.27% โœ…

LIC Housing Finance (LICHSGFIN)

29,153

286,800 โœ…

27,067 โœ…

4,760 โœ…

17.6%

8.4%

๐Ÿšจ 3.31% (High GNPA)

Aadhar Housing Finance (AADHARHFC)

17,292

21,100

2,587

750

29.0%

16.5%

1.10%

Aptus Value Housing (APTUS)

15,224

6,760

1,037

480

46.3% โœ…

25.3%

1.07%

Aavas Financiers (AAVAS)

13,500

17,310

2,018

491

24.3%

22.3%

0.94% โœ…

Home First Finance (HOMEFIRST)

9,024

9,700

1,137

305

26.8%

28.8% โœ…

1.70%


๐Ÿ… Key Takeaways:

  • Bajaj Housing Finance and LIC Housing Finance are the biggest players in terms of Market Cap & AUM.

  • Bajaj Housing Finance has the lowest GNPA% suggesting quality Lending. 

  • LIC Housing Finance has higher GNPA (3.31%), indicating higher risk compared to others.


๐ŸŒ 3. Global Housing Finance Leaders vs Indian Players

๐ŸŒŽ Company

๐Ÿ’ฐ Market Cap ($ Billion)

๐Ÿฆ AUM ($ Billion)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sales FY24 ($ Billion)

๐Ÿ’ธ Profit FY24 ($ Billion)

๐Ÿ“Š Profit Margin (%)

๐Ÿ“‰ GNPA (%)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fannie Mae (US)

120

4,200 โœ…

90

16

17.8%

1.1%

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Freddie Mac (US)

80

2,700

65

12

18.5%

1.4%

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Nationwide (UK)

50

380

18

4

22.2% โœ…

0.9% โœ…

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ HDFC (India)

70

600 โœ…

25

5

20.0%

1.2%


๐Ÿ”Ž Observations:

  • Indian companies (Bajaj, LIC, HDFC (preM)) are catching up globally ๐Ÿ“ˆ but still smaller in comparison to US giants like Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac.

  • HDFC Pre Merger (India) was one of the top global players, competing with the biggest names.

  • Indian lenders have lower GNPA% than many global firms, indicating better loan quality.


๐Ÿ— 4. Unlisted Housing Finance Companies in India

Several strong unlisted housing finance companies are expanding rapidly and could go public soon:

๐Ÿข Company

๐Ÿ’ฐ Market Cap (โ‚น Cr) (Est.)

๐Ÿฆ AUM (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sales FY24 (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ’ธ Profit FY24 (โ‚น Cr)

๐Ÿ“Š Profit Margin (%)

๐Ÿš€ 4-Year Growth (%)

๐Ÿ“‰ GNPA (%)

Tata Capital Housing Finance

15,000

85,000

12,000

1,500

22.5% โœ…

10.5%

1.8%

Piramal Capital & Housing Finance

12,000

62,000

9,500

1,300

20.8%

9.8%

๐Ÿšจ 2.2%

India Shelter Finance

7,000

18,000

3,200

500

15.6%

12.0%

1.4% โœ…

IIFL Home Finance

9,000

25,000

5,400

850

18.7%

11.5%

1.6%

Aditya Birla Housing Finance

11,000

30,000

6,000

900

19.3%

13.2% โœ…

1.9%


๐Ÿ”ฎ 5. Housing Finance Industry Outlook for 2035 (India)

By 2035, the Indian housing finance industry is expected to quadruple in size, driven by:

โœ… Mortgage-to-GDP Ratio Growth โ€“ From ~11% (2024) โ†’ 25-30% (2035).
โœ… CAGR of 15-17% ๐Ÿ“ˆ in loan growth.
โœ… More financial inclusion & first-time home buyers.
โœ… AI & Fintech Innovations ๐Ÿค– for faster, low-risk lending.

๐Ÿ“Œ Projections for 2035

Metric

2024

Projected 2035

๐Ÿฆ Housing Finance Industry Size (โ‚น Cr)

โ‚น50 lakh crore

โ‚น200 lakh crore (4x growth)

๐Ÿ  Mortgage-to-GDP Ratio

~11%

25-30% โœ…

๐Ÿ“ˆ Loan Growth (CAGR)

~12%

15-17% โœ…

๐Ÿ† Top Players (Market Cap โ‚น Cr)

โ‚น95,000 Cr (Bajaj HFL)

โ‚น3-5 lakh crore


๐Ÿš€ 6. Investment Takeaways for Long-Term Wealth Creation

๐Ÿ”น Bajaj Housing Finance & HDFC (Pre Merge Identity) โ€“ Strongest long-term bets in India's housing finance industry.
๐Ÿ”น Mortgage market to grow 4x by 2035 โ€“ Providing multi-decade investment opportunities.
๐Ÿ”น Top NBFCs & Unlisted Companies (Tata Capital, IIFL Home Finance) โ€“ Could become major market players post-IPO. But we can see Bajaj Housing still leads in Aum as well as better GNPA% even if we compare with unlisted players.
๐Ÿ”น Focus on companies with low GNPA, high profit margins, and strong AUM growth.


๐Ÿ’ก Final Thought: Indiaโ€™s housing finance industry is at an inflection point, and by 2035, it will be among the largest in the world. Smart investors should look for scalable business models, strong balance sheets, and digital transformation capabilities. ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ