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CDSL: Long-Term Investor Report

Lesson 81/225 | Study Time: 5 Min
CDSL: Long-Term Investor Report

1. Company Overview

Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL) is one of India’s two securities depositories (the other being NSDL), playing a critical role in the financial market infrastructure by holding securities in electronic form and facilitating dematerialized (Demat) transactions.

  • Business Model: Fee-based (issuer charges, transaction charges, IPO/corporate action fees, KYC services) and annuity-driven (annual issuer and maintenance income).

  • Subsidiaries:

    • CDSL Ventures Ltd (CVL): India’s first and largest KYC Registration Agency (9+ crore KYC records).

    • Centrico Insurance Repository Ltd: e-Insurance policies platform.

    • Countrywide Commodity Repository Ltd: Regulated commodity repository.

CDSL benefits from India’s capital market deepening, rising retail participation, IPO boom, and regulatory push toward digitization.


2. Industry & Growth Drivers

  • Structural growth: Rising financialization of savings, retail participation in equities, and mandatory dematerialization of securities.

  • IPO & SME market expansion: Each listing directly benefits depositories.

  • Digital initiatives: e-KYC, eVoting, DLT for bonds, Digilocker integration.

  • Government push: Demat for insurance, bonds, and other assets.

India’s capital market growth directly translates into higher accounts, transactions, and custody values for CDSL.


3. Historical Performance

Demat Accounts Growth (CAGR)

  • 2007 → 2.3 million

  • 2020 → 21 million

  • 2025 → 153 million

  • FY26 Trailing (Q1): 158.6 million

A 20-year CAGR of ~29% in accounts, reflecting long-term compounding from regulatory reforms and retail participation.

Financial Growth Snapshot (₹ Cr)

Year

Sales

Profit

Profit Margin

FY2021

344

201

58%

FY2023

556

275

49%

FY2024

812

420

52%

FY2025

1082

526

49%

Trailing FY26

1084

493

45%


  • 5-Year CAGR (Sales): ~37%

  • 5-Year CAGR (Profit): ~38%

Margins remain structurally high (>45%), though Q1FY26 showed pressure (39%).


4. Q1FY26 Results (June 2025)

Consolidated Highlights

  • Revenue: ₹2,588 Cr (flat YoY, +16% QoQ).

  • Net Profit: ₹1,024 Cr (down 24% YoY, +2% QoQ).

  • EPS: ₹4.9 vs ₹6.42 YoY (–24%).

  • Margins: 39% vs 52% YoY.

  • Other Income: ₹623 Cr (includes dividend from subsidiaries).

Segmental Revenue Mix

  • Annual Issuer Fees: ₹114 Cr (+48% YoY).

  • Transactions: ₹62 Cr (–17% YoY).

  • IPO/Corporate Action: ₹21 Cr (–19% YoY).

  • Online Data Charges: ₹31 Cr (–42% YoY).

  • Other Income: ₹67 Cr (+20% YoY).

Key Expense Drivers

  • Employee Cost: ₹39 Cr (+44%).

  • Technology: ₹35 Cr (+35%).

  • Depreciation & Amortization: ₹15 Cr (+50%).

Takeaway:
While Demat account additions remain strong (1.6 Cr in Q1), profit dipped due to high costs, reduced IPO activity, and lower online data charges.


5. Historical Valuations

  • P/E Range: Historically between 20–80x (currently ~60x trailing).

  • P/B Range: 2x (FY21 lows) to 24x (FY25 peak).

  • Premium justified by monopoly-like position, asset-light model, and annuity income.


6. Long-Term Estimates & Valuations

Projections (Base Case)

Year

Sales

Profit

EPS

Book Value

Blended Fair Value

FY2026E

1,179

460

22

95

₹855

FY2030E

2,446

1,280

61

139

₹1,902

FY2035E

4,310

2,256

108

186

₹3,128

At CMP ₹1,576, CDSL trades above FY26 fair value, but below FY35 long-term potential.


7. Peer Comparison

Company

Business

P/E (TTM)

ROE

Market Share

CDSL

Depository

~60x

22%

70%+ retail

NSDL

Depository

- 47X

17%

30%

KFin Tech / CAMS

RTA / MF infra

40–55x

25–30%

Niche

CDSL enjoys annuity-like recurring income and stronger moat compared to RTAs.


8. Technicals

  • CMP: ₹1,576

  • 52W Range: ₹932 – ₹1,771

  • Currently consolidating after sharp rally.

  • Weightage in portfolio: ~2.5% suggested (moderate allocation).


9. Risks

  • Regulatory risk (pricing controls, competition from NSDL).

  • Cyclical revenues from IPO/corporate action segments.

  • Rising costs (employee + technology).

  • Litigation (Anugrah DP case – pending in Bombay HC, management expects no adverse impact).


10. Conclusion – Long Term Risk & Reward

Positives

  • Monopoly-like market structure.

  • High-margin, asset-light business.

  • Structural industry tailwinds (digitization, IPO pipeline, financialization).

  • Growing subsidiaries (KYC, insurance repository, commodities).

⚠️ Concerns

  • Near-term margin pressure from rising costs.

  • IPO slowdown directly impacts growth.

  • Valuations rich in short term.

🎯 Long-Term View:
CDSL remains a structural compounder in Indian capital markets. While FY26 earnings may see pressure, the 10–15 year growth story remains intact, supported by deepening equity culture and regulatory digitization.


📌 Disclosure

This analysis is for educational purposes only, not investment advice. 

Piyush Patel

Piyush Patel

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